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Showing posts with label Northeast monsoon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Northeast monsoon. Show all posts

Saturday, September 27, 2025

JKR on guard against landslides

 

Taking precautions Workers busy repairing the slope at Taman Eko Rimba, Jalan Ampang, Kuala Lumpur, to prevent any untoward incidents during the upcoming northeast monsoon. — ART CHEN/ The Star

Early warning systems, monitoring best defence for risky slopes, say department

PETALING JAYA: With more than 1,000 slopes nationwide flagged as high-risk ahead of the northeast monsoon, the Public Works Department (JKR) says round-the-clock monitoring and early-warning systems remain the country’s best defence against sudden collapses.

JKR director-general Datuk Roslan Ismail said although the prediction of the exact time and location of a slope collapse is still very difficult, the ministry monitors precursors at all times to ensure minimal damage.

He said that, despite advanced technologies, it is still not easy to solve all of Mother Nature’s failings.  

ALSO READ: Avoid outdoor activities, public urged

The best the authorities can do is to treat the symptoms – the precursors such as rain and soil movement.

Roslan was responding to the recent announcement by Works Minister Datuk Seri Alexander Nanta Linggi that there are slopes nationwide that are classified as high-risk and on the verge of collapsing at any time.

He said that there are 1,066 high-risk slopes in Peninsular Malaysia, seven in Sabah, one in Sarawak, and 13 in Labuan.

ALSO READ: High anxiety and higher insurance costs living near hillslopes

“In Peninsular Malaysia, numerous very high-risk slopes that have been previously identified are situated along federal roads. A notable cluster of these high-risk sites has been observed on the East-West Highway.

“Current systems do not ‘precisely predict’ every collapse (of soil). 

“What the system does is detect precursors (excessive rainfall, ground movement and pore pressure rises) and issue early-warning alerts when thresholds are exceeded. 

“Research and JKR practices show early-warning systems and real-time monitoring reduce surprise failures and allow protective action.

ALSO READ: Monsoon transition brings storm risks

“Through the Slope Engineering Branch of JKR, we are equipped to address potential disasters by identifying slopes that may be unstable. The Slope Hazard and Risk Map (SHaRp) works in tandem with the Landslide Early Warning System (EWS) to achieve this.

“This Early Warning System uses telemetry technology to provide early alerts when the rainfall index measured by installed rain gauges exceeds the warning threshold. There are 73 rain gauge stations installed across Malaysia,” said Roslan. 

Other sensors and thresholds used are the robotic total stations (RTS) and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) at selected critical slopes to detect movement and rainfall thresholds that trigger alerts.

 “These sensors provide data on thresholds, such as rainfall amounts and displacement, to the monitoring room. When these thresholds are met, BiGBen will issue warnings, and roads can then be closed,” explained Roslan.

But he said that JKR does not just wait for these thresholds to be reached. 

“When a slope becomes imminently dangerous, operational measures such as pre-identified alternative routes, staged road closures, traffic diversions and coordination with emergency services will be activated immediately. 

“If landslides or slope failures occur, clearing the road and removing debris (landslide remnants), implementing traffic management plans, providing temporary diversion and alternative routes, and protecting the collapsed slope with plastic tarpaulin sheets to prevent further landslides before permanent slope repair or restoration work is carried out,” said Roslan. 

He said that, while slope failures are costly, the Works Ministry prioritises funding for repairs and prevention.

Roslan said that the ministry has also identified smaller sets for urgent repair for remedial work, which are specific projects with allocated budgets.

Despite the challenges in accurately predicting slope failures, Roslan emphasised that prevention remains a more cost-effective and safer approach.

“International and local studies show landslides produce large human and economic costs. 

“Malaysia has experienced costly landslide events, with academic research highlighting the cumulative impact of these incidents over several decades.

“Investing in monitoring, preventive maintenance, and remediation reduces fatalities, disruptions and long-term economic losses compared with post-disaster repairs and emergency response.

“Prevention is certainly better than allowing slope failures to occur, as large-scale landslides may result in much higher repair costs compared to early-stage mitigation costs. However, the government is subject to budget approvals and has a high backlog of repair works that must be prioritised.

“Preventive maintenance and early works budgets (and improved monitoring coverage) reduce the need for larger emergency expenditures and the indirect economic costs from road closures and disrupted supply chains,” said Roslan  - 

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Saturday, September 20, 2025

More heavy rain and flooding expected in Oct, says MetMalaysia

 

Weather watch: MetMalaysia staff monitoring a weather forecast display. — AZMAN GHANI /The Star

PETALING JAYA: The heavy rains and deadly Sabah floods and landslides have already claimed 13 lives.

But meteorologists warn that this could only mark the start of a more dangerous monsoon season.

There is likely to be worse weather ahead as Malaysia transitions from the southwest to the northeast monsoon.

“Thunderstorms and heavy rains are on the horizon in October. 

“From mid-November, the northeast monsoon will bring continuous rainfall, affecting the east coast of the peninsula, Sabah and Sarawak,” Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) director-general Dr Mohd Hisham Mohd Anip says.

He noted that these weather patterns will particularly affect the western and inland regions of the peninsula, as well as western and central Sarawak and western Sabah, with the most intense activity occurring in the afternoons and early evenings.

Hisham warned that low-lying and riverbank areas could see flash floods.

“Climate change is causing more frequent and extreme weather events, including heavier rainfall and severe thunderstorms accompanied by hailstorms and tornadoes.

“It’s essential to understand our climate patterns and plan travel to avoid high-risk areas during adverse weather,” he said.

Climatologists anticipate wetter and more extreme weather in the coming months due to climate change and the La Nina phenomenon.

Dr Fredolin Tangang of the Academy of Sciences Malaysia highlighted a report from the US Climate Prediction Centre, which predicts a more than 70% chance of Pacific Ocean cooling between October and December.

“This will lead to high atmospheric moisture during the northeast monsoon starting mid-November, increasing the likelihood of extreme weather,” he said.

Tangang noted that global warming exacerbates these conditions by increasing the atmosphere’s moisture capacity, causing more and heavier rain.

He warned that the La Nina effect, combined with global warming, is likely to persist, heightening the risk of extreme rainfall, floods and landslides in Malaysia, particularly in Sabah and Sarawak.

“Proper maintenance of drainage systems is crucial to manage the increased rainfall,” he added

Meteorologist Prof Datuk Dr Azizan Abu Samah also predicted heavier rainfall due to La Nina.

“Although currently in an ENSO-neutral state, forecasts indicate a weak La Nina this winter, suggesting above-average rain during the northeast monsoon,” he said.

The inter-monsoon transition is expected around October to November as the southwest monsoon weakens.

Azizan said the recent heavy rainfall in Sabah was due to a westerly southwest wind and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) interacting with a cyclonic low pressure north of the Philippines.

“The wet phase of the MJO should end by this weekend, providing relief to Sabah and Sarawak,” he said.

The National Disaster Management Agency (Nadma) reported the end of the southwest monsoon, which began on May 10, has caused some areas to see daily rainfall of over 80mm.

Eastern Sabah is likely to see more thunderstorms and heavy rain, at least until Sept 22.

Squall lines capable of producing severe weather are also expected in western Peninsular Malaysia, western Sabah, and northern Sarawak during early mornings, with thunderstorms likely in other regions during afternoons and evenings.

Nadma director-general Datuk Abdul Halim Hamzah said that the agency was fully prepared, especially after the minor earthquake in Segamat, Johor, and the heavy rains in Sabah.

By MARTIN CARVALHO

14 hours ago — “This is part of the state's broader strategy to manage environmental risks and prevent landslides, especially during heavy rainfall,” he said.

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