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Showing posts with label Trump US-China Trade War & Tech War. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trump US-China Trade War & Tech War. Show all posts

Friday, October 2, 2020

America’s 5 Stages of Grief Over China’s Rise; Trump and wife test positive for Covid-19

  

Whenever people face a huge loss in life — like a sudden divorce or death of a family member — they go through five stages of grief. These stages are denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and finally acceptance. The U.S. is about to lose its top spot as the biggest economy and is, in a textbook manner, going through the same stages.



Denial: Some people like Kishore Mahbubani predicted twenty years ago that China will eventually be the leading economic powerhouse. But Americans chose denial and laughed at the concept. The popular beliefs behind the denials were:

  • China’s economy will collapse any moment now!
  • China will eventually become just like the West and then we will have nothing to worry about.
  • China is a totalitarian, communist country. They don’t understand capitalism or free market, and thus will never be rich.
  • China can never innovate. The workers are just slaves and bots.
  • China makes only crappy products and thus can never compete with western brands.
  • As soon as Chinese people travel to the West and see how glorious the West is, they will go back to China and overthrow the tyrannical and corrupt communist government.
  • China’s GDP numbers and other stats are fake!
  • China’s patents and scientific publications are of low quality.
  • Chinese products will never succeed outside China.
  • We can always nuke China and maintain our hegemony.
  • COVID19 will surely bring China down. And all the countries will start decoupling from China.
Alas, none of those happened. China miraculously kept advancing. Without a single recession in forty years, the engine of China kept roaring. China’s communist party grew the GDP 50x in forty years, lifted 800 million people out of poverty, created the world’s largest middle class, fostered innovative companies, and built a vibrant and all-around successful society. (See my blog on China’s global leadership)..


Anger: After denying reality for a while, people become angry. They feel like victims and start blaming others. That’s exactly what’s been happening, especially since Trump came to office. The anger is reflected in following ways:
  • China stole America’s jobs.
  • China stole intellectual property from the U.S. (after all, Chinese can’t innovate, remember?)
  • Chinese are spies and hackers.
  • China doesn’t buy anything from us.
  • China doesn’t treat U.S. corporations fairly. China is too protectionist.
  • China subsidizes its corporations. Not fair!
  • China made the coronavirus in the Wuhan lab. China tricked us into a lock down.
  • China bad, China bad, China bad!

Bargaining
: This is the hopeful phase. It’s like saying after the divorce, “Maybe I can get my wife back.” This phase is not always benign; it can involve a lot of ruthless scheming as seen in the last four years:

  • If we can just force China to buy more from us, we can eliminate trade deficit and make America great again.
  • Tariffs will cripple China and also force American companies to bring manufacturing jobs back.
  • If we just arrest Huawei’s CFO and kill the company with sanctions, China will bend its knee.
  • Let’s go on an all-out attack on every successful Chinese company. That should do the trick!
  • Let’s use Hong Kong and Uyghur separatists to disrupt China. How about using India and Taiwan to start a war?

None of these seem to be working, although military conflicts are possible (with devastating impact on global economy). America’s tech war will only spur more Chinese innovation and self-reliance.


Depression and Acceptance: We are not here yet. The U.S. is still trying hard to stop China, rather than planning for an inevitable post-American era,  which will start within five years. The geopolitically smart strategy will be to skip the stage of depression and go to acceptance. That will translate to embracing multilateralism and partnering with China, EU and Russia to forge a multi-polar world order for the 21st century. However, with so much Sinophoba and hubris in the U.S., no politician or think tank will dare propose such a solution. So … get ready for American depression.
 
 
 
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Saturday, July 25, 2020

Trump, with surge to over 4 million coronavirus cases, is blaming Black And Brown People for Covid-19, has 100 days to save his US presidency

Trump Is ‘Blaming Black And Brown People For Covid-19 Surge

https://youtu.be/HNxfYf_1ud8  
Joe speaks with Jason Johnson, Morgan State University professor of Politics & Journalism, about ‘sending our kids to slaughter’ at schools in infection hotspots such as Florida and Georgia, and Trump’s racist theory that Black Lives Matter protests and Mexico border crossings are to blame for the coronavirus surge. Aired on 07/23/2020.

 As U.S. hits 4 million coronavirus cases in record time, deaths ...



Coronavirus: U.S. COVID-19 cases surge amid reopening debate | Watch...
Watch Coronavirus: U.S. COVID-19 cases surge amid reopening debate Video Online, on GlobalNews.ca

 https://globalnews.ca/video/rd/6ece180c-c308-11ea-9d7d-0242ac110004/?jwsource=twi

The U.S. hit another grim milestone on Thursday as thee number of total confirmed cases of COVID-19 passed four million, with data showing it only took 16 days to go from three million to four million, with the average number of new cases now rising by more than 2,600 every hour. Deaths are also increasing, with Florida and Texas each reporting record one-day increases in the number of new deaths.

Trump has 100 days to save his US presidency

US on edge as covid-19 surges, protests up....
US President Donald Trump.
Trump US President Donald Trump. REUTERS/Leah Millis. File Photo 

Donald Trump has 100 days from Sunday to save his presidency, while the US tries to avoid a collective nervous breakdown ahead of one of the most divisive, tension-filled elections in US history.

Coronavirus is ravaging the economy, adding to a death toll already above 140,000, while undermining national trust in government institutions.

Add explosive protests against racism and police brutality, leftist-led riots, flourishing right-wing conspiracy theories and the spectre of Russian meddling — and you have a country more on edge than at any time since the cataclysmic 1960s.

At the centre is Trump, a man who boasts he never tires of “winning” yet faces possible humiliation on November 3.

Democratic challenger Joe Biden, whom Trump derides as weak and mentally incompetent, leads by double digits in some polls.

Trump is 74, Biden 77 — a matchup of two elderly white men seemingly out of step with 2020s uprisings against racism and sexism.

One is a billionaire born into privilege; the other, with three decades in the Senate and two terms as vice-president under Barack Obama, the epitome of the professional politician.

Trump vs Biden will deliver all the upheaval a confused US electorate can stomach.

Trump’s pitch boils down to claiming Biden will have Americans “cowering to radical left-wing mobs”. Biden says he’s fighting for “the soul of America”.

On Thursday, Trump cancelled the traditional Republican convention planned in Florida in August due to coronavirus concerns.

The Democrats scrapped theirs weeks ago.

Polls give Biden an advantage nationally and strong leads in swing states.

Congressional Democrats, who already control the House, are eyeing recapture of the Senate.

Many incumbents in Trump’s predicament might at this point start planning their post-presidential libraries.

Trump presides over mass unemployment triggered by the coronavirus shutdown, racial unrest and a growing crisis of confidence.

On coronavirus, polls show two-thirds of Americans have no faith in his leadership.

Trump, with approval ratings stuck in the low 40% range, is the first president to seek re-election after impeachment.

Yet no-one counts him out.

Belittled in 2016, he defeated all the top Republican establishment names for the nomination, then came from behind to defeat Hillary Clinton.

Trump believes he still has the secret sauce.

“I’m not losing, because those are fake polls,” he insisted last weekend.

“They were fake in 2016 and now they’re even more fake.”

Biden is running his campaign from his Delaware home, with no rallies, few media interviews and even rarer press conferences.

Biden is able to sit back and watch Trump lurch ever deeper into self-inflicted troubles.

Until the onset of Covid-19 and the economic downturn, Trump was on a roll.

His then confident campaign manager Brad Parscale described the Republican re-election team in May as the “Death Star” in the Star Wars movies and tweeted they were about to press the “fire” button.

Today, that vaunted machine resembles a misfiring rocket.

Trump’s mass rallies have fizzled due to health risks, while his trademark bravado and name-calling sit less easily in a country shaken by death and economic misery. — AFP

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Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Wolf warrior’ diplomacy a US trait

Wang Yi: China seeks global peace, development, not hegemony


https://youtu.be/d_Lq9IQevac


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https://youtu.be/652foE223co


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https://youtu.be/ujAj1E9kzsA

 
br /> Has China implemented the "wolf warrior" diplomacy? When Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi responded to 23 questions during a press conference on Sunday, which of his answers confirmed the "wolf warrior" diplomacy? Did his answers interfere in any country's internal affairs? Did he threaten to sanction any country? Wang called the abuse of litigation against China over the COVID-19 outbreak "a product of three nos" - it has no ground, has no factual basis and has no international precedence. Attempts to blackmail China for the epidemic are daydreaming, Wang said. This might be the toughest answer he has ever given during the 100-minute press conference.

In terms of "wolf warrior", the US has peaked in its diplomacy. Just look at how many countries are being sanctioned by the US, in how many places is the US stationing its troops and how many countries' internal affairs are being interfered with by the US?

China has always emphasized common interests and building a community with a shared future for mankind. We make only a reasonable but powerful counterattack when being attacked. There is a vivid metaphor that compares China to the Kung Fu Panda.

The negative trend in China-US relations has attracted global attention. Such a trend is a process of the two major powers' interactions. The two countries lack mutual trust and thus tensions escalate. Both countries say the other country is the reason for the worsening of their relations.

However, if we look at the China-US relations objectively, we can list the following basic facts.

First, China is a rising developing country. So far, it has not formed the strength to pose a substantial challenge to the US, nor does China have such a will.

Second, the US harbors strategic suspicions of China and China also has various expressions of its visions. But the core of China's foreign relations is development. Chinese actions that can be described as "overseas military expansion" are negligible. China has somewhat been active in areas in which it has territorial disputes with neighboring countries, but it has kept restraint in general. One proof is that China has not engaged in any military conflicts with its neighboring countries for over 30 years.

Third, China expands influence through its economic activities. This is a process whereby parties involved can mutually benefit and China does so under the US-led multilateral trading system. China hasn't forcibly changed trade rules but has accumulated a trade surplus under the current rules and with the hard work of its people.

Fourth, China has a different political system with the US and other Western countries, which has caused ideological disputes. But China is generally not a country that exports ideology. China's so-called overseas publicity aims only at increasing the external world's understanding and favor for China instead of subverting the Western system. The West is aggressive while China is defensive in their ideological disputes.

Fifth, the US elites always want to shape China. They are annoyed that China has firmly stayed on its own political path, and they worry that the successful Chinese path may affect Western society's confidence. But this is not China's fault since we have the right to walk on our own path without interfering in the development of any other countries.

Sixth, the Trump administration has launched the trade war against China, which is indeed bullying. The "America First" doctrine has caused widespread resentment worldwide and China is not the only victim. Since the COVID-19 outbreak, Washington has been passing the buck to Beijing. This is the odious move of the White House and the Republican Party for the sake of the 2020 election. This is typical international hooliganism.



Labeling Chinese diplomacy as "wolf warrior" reflects an extreme ideology. If Western public opinion uses the label to describe Chinese diplomacy, then it is vulgarizing its international political thinking and playing to the crowd.

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Sunday, April 12, 2020

WHO: quarantine politicizing COVID-19, while US hegemony in peril amid COVID-19 pandemic

https://youtu.be/oprM9PGRxtM

https://youtu.be/jrfC_5LiBrQ

Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,675,287 Cases and 101,485 ...

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The director-general of the World Health Organization, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, delivered a powerful warning to world leaders to not politicize the response to COVID-19, saying doing so will lead to more deaths.

"If we want to win, please quarantine politicizing COVID-19," Tedros said.

Tedros made the stern comments at a WHO press briefing Wednesday in response to a question about recent criticisms made by U.S. President Donald Trump, defending the organization about what they've done since the first known case was brought to their attention 100 days ago.

"So my advice, three things," the director-general said, "please, unity at the national level, no using COVID for political points. Second, honest solidarity at the global level. And honest leadership from the U.S. and China."

Tedros also got personal, saying he received many criticisms and even death threats over the last three months, but cares more about humanity being insulted with politicizing a virus that has killed more than 60,000 people so far.

“If you don’t want any more body bags, then you must refrain from politicizing it.”

The WHO has been criticized for its decision not to call COVID-19 a pandemic until March 11, long after many experts suggested it should do so.


US hegemony in peril amid COVID-19 pandemic

The raging COVID-19 pandemic not only challenges and tests the ability of countries to contain the virus but also has far-reaching implications for the international system, which has become a catalyst in accelerating the evolution of the current international order.

On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump lashed out at the World Health Organization (WHO), accusing the world health body, which is largely funded by the US, as "China centric" and threatened to halt its funding. Echoing Trump, his right-hand man US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Wednesday the US administration is reevaluating WHO funding, adding "we take taxpayer money and give it to them for the benefit of America, we need to make sure it's delivering on those taxpayer dollars." Such remarks are worthy of attention as they have eroded the moral ground of the US hegemony and forced people to contemplate on how to effectively provide the world the much-needed public goods during these changing times.

In the fight against the novel coronavirus, WHO, an international intergovernmental organization within the framework of the United Nations, has played its proper role in releasing information, sharing data and material and raising cautions. To be fair, WHO has done everything in its power to address the COVID-19 pandemic challenges within its existing framework and responsibilities.

From a theoretical perspective of international relations, the US, as a hegemonic power and global leader, should assume responsibility for providing the global public goods. The worldwide spread of the novel coronavirus suggests that the problem is not about outdated global governance or a global governance surplus, but there is insufficient traction of global governance. The key reason is the US, at the center of global leadership, does not have enough capacity or willingness to provide the global public goods. The two pillars of US hegemony - military strength and financial system - can only play a very limited role in this fight against the virus. Given the US' prevailing attitude toward the WHO, it is necessary to reconsider the US and European countries' real purpose of establishing international organizations, and whether this purpose meets people's needs and the challenges that the world will face in the future.

Be it the US or Europe, both initially showed their contempt and disregard when facing the global spread of COVID-19, followed by a shortsighted approach. The US and Europe could have had enough time to react and they possess sufficient resources and technology. However, the pandemic befell because of their visible loopholes in cognition and emergency action capabilities.

From this point of view, the COVID-19 outbreak, and the statements and actions made by the US and the efforts of developed European countries to shirk responsibility reflect that they have given up the leadership roles and obligations of global governance that they once took for granted. The immediate consequence is that the moral ground - the most important asset of US hegemony - has been severely slashed.

This moral basis was established through the long-term dissemination of liberalism and neoliberalism during and after the Cold War. Its core idea is to emphasize the "morality" behind the US hegemony and the justice of the public goods that the US provides for the whole world. By providing such public goods, the US has gained leadership and influence of the international community. However, the US has not shown enough convincing leadership in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, new leadership in global governance has begun to shift to countries with the will and ability.

For the emerging countries, represented by China, they have a clear understanding or even consensus on the direction of the new approach to global governance. In other words, governance must strive to achieve the basic vision of a community with a shared future for mankind. Only in the common interest of mankind, such as human life and health, can governance reach a higher level of international coordination and respond more effectively to the impacts, challenges, and tests of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite the ups and downs, the general trend of globalization is irreversible. Since the US is somehow willing to give up its constructive role in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, the history will inevitably move forward to completely turn the page of US hegemony.

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